Possible stamp duty extension

HOUSING REPORT: We welcome speculation in The Times that the Chancellor may extend the Stamp Duty Holiday in England until the end of June in next week’s budget.

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Since the relief was announced, Propertymark members have collectively lobbied the UK Government to avoid a cliff edge leading thousands of sales to fall through. There are promising signs that the Treasury has listened to our campaign.

While the news was welcome, we warned that there should not be a further cliff edge and instead the Stamp Duty holiday should be tapered.

Stamp duty holiday continues to encourage house hunters as demand increases by two fifths

In our January Housing Market Report data, evidence from members is that the stamp duty holiday continued to drive demand as the average number of prospective buyers per estate agent rose by 40 per cent, standing at 487. Year-on-year this is a 27 per cent increase on January 2020.

Many endured slow chains however, as a record number of property transactions (26 per cent) took over 17 weeks from the offer being accepted to exchanging contracts.

Sales agreed reach 14 year high for January

Property sales increased on the previous month, with the report showing 10 sales agreed per estate agent. This is the highest figure for January since 2007, when an average of 13 sales were agreed per branch.

Rise in housing supply and prices

January also saw a rise in the supply of available properties. There were 38 properties available per member branch, compared with 33 in December.

A rise in the number of properties selling for more than the asking price meant some vendors reaped the rewards of higher demand. January saw 9 per cent of properties sold above the original asking price, compared with only 5 per cent in December.

With no change to the number of sales made to first-time buyers compared with December, this is a decrease of 6 percentage points from 29 per cent in January 2020.

The number of house hunters hitting the market in January shows the stamp duty cut has continued to encourage buyers. However, with an average of 13 house hunters for every property on the market, there is simply not the supply to meet this level of demand.

Separately, a record number of transactions are taking nearly four months to complete, however news today reveals the Chancellor is preparing to extend the stamp duty holiday until June. We have continually lobbied Government to rethink these timings and it is good news for the sector given how many sales would have fallen at the final hurdle as we approached the 31 March cliff edge. However, extending the holiday until June will create another cliff edge. We know from our own research that the majority of estate agents expect to see an increase in the number of failed sales if the stamp duty holiday ends at a cliff edge so we need Government to consider a tapered end to the holiday so that buyers aren’t forced to pull out at the last minute and the property market can continue to thrive.

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Mark Hayward Chief Policy Advisor | Propertymark

Propertymark advocacy

We will continue to campaign for changes to Government policy on this issue. You can support our lobbying efforts by writing to your local MP. To help you write your letter, we have published guidance on our website.

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